Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Kemahiran Menahan Asakan Pasaran

Kemahiran ini diperlukan apabila berlaku keadaan pasaran di luar jangkaan. Setelah anda membuat keputusan berdasarkan INCICATOR ( ICR ), tetapi keadaan berlaku tidak seperti yg diberi dalam petunjuk. Dengan itu anda perlu tahu bagaimana menahan keadaan yg tidak anda duga.
MENAHAN ASAKKAN PASARAN MENAIK
Katakanlah anda berada dalam kedudukan SELL sepatutnya graf TURUN dan anda akan memperolehi keuntungan. Tetapi graf menaik, keadaan ini akan menyebabkan anda rugi. Oleh itu cara menahan asakkan kenaikan graf ialah membuat SELL sekali lagi. Tetapi kedudukan antara sell pertama dan kedua mesti 3 PIPS sahaja. Oleh itu jika pasaran turun kembali anda akan memperolehi UNTUNG pada ke dua-dua kedudukan iaitu SELL-1 dan SELL-2. MENAHAN ASAKKAN KENAIKKAN PASARAN KALI KE 2
Tetapi jika keadaan pasaran masih menaik anda perlu menahan asakkan kali ke 2. Jika hal ini berlaku anda harus membuat BUY di atas kedudukan SELL ke 2 tadi. Tetapi jarak antara SELL KE 2 dan kedudukan BUY terakhir yg anda buat mestilah 2 PIPS sahaja. Keadaan ini dijelaskan dalam grafik berikut: Jika keadaan kenaikkan kali ke-2 berlaku, maka kedudukan BUY yg anda buat akan menahan asakkan KENAIKAN kali ke 2. Anda akan memperolehi keuntungan pada kedudukan BUY-1, jika keadaan pasaran terus menaik. Mana kala SELL-1 SELL-2 akan TERAPUNG ( FLOTING ). Biarkan ke dua-dua sell berkenaan sehingga keadaan pasaran TURUN SEMULA. MENAHAN ASAKKAN TREND PASARAN MENURUN SELEPAS MENAIK
Jika trend pasaran TURUN SEMULA selepas anda membuka kedudukan BUY-1, anda perlu menahan asakkan berkenaan. Caranya ialah dengan membuka kedudukan baru BUY-2. Jarak antara BUY-1 dan BUY-2 mestilah 3 PIPS sahaja. Kedudukan berkenaan dijelaskan seperti dalam gambar rajah. Jika keadaan pasaran naik semula selepas penurunan SINGKAT, anda akan untung melalui BUY-2, sekiranya pasaran naik berterusan melewati BUY-1, anda akan untung pada ke dua-dua kedudukan BUY-1 dan BUY-2. Manakala SELL-1 dan SELL-2 biarkan floting. MENAHAN ASAKKAN TREND PASARAN TURUN BERTERUSAN SELEPAS BUY-2
Jika keadaan pasaran turun berterusan selepas BUY-2 anda perlu menahan asakkan dengan membuka kedudukan baru iaitu SELL-3. Keadaan ini dijelaskan seperti dalam gambar rajah berikut: Jika penurunan pasaran berterusan maka anda akan memperolehi keuntungan dari kedudukan SELL-3, begitu juga pada kedudukan SELL-2 dan SELL-1. ketiga-tiga kedudukan SELL berkenaan akan UNTUNG jika penurunan terus menjunam. Manakala BUY-1 BUY-2 akan FLOTING. Biarkan kedua-dua BUY berkenaan floting sehingga pasaran menaik pulih kembali.
Begitulah teknik menahan ASAKKAN bagi menghadapi keadaan pasaran yg tidak menentu. Keadaan ini pasti akan anda lalui dalam proses trading harian. Walau bagaimanapun, bagi sesetengah PLAT FORM, teknik ini tidak sesuai.
Buat masa ini PLAT FORM yg membenarkan teknik ini dilaksanakan ialah plat form MARKETIVA dan NORTH FINENCE. Plat form lain mungkin ada, cuma saya belum jumpa setakat ini. Jika anda rajin mencuba terpulanglah kepada anda untuk meneroka teknik ini pada lain-lain plat form.
Teknik ini dipanggil 2+1 iaitu 2 SELL dan 1 BUY untuk menahan ASAKKAN pasaran MENAIK dan 2 BUY diikuti 1 SELL untuk menahan ASAKKAN pasaran yang MENURUN. Jika anda berjaya membuka kedudukan seperti ini, anda akan UNTUNG dalam semua keadaan sama ada pasaran TURUN atau NAIK.Tegasnya menguasai ketiga-tiga KEMAHIRAN FOREX dapat menyelamatkan anda dari mengalami kerugian. Cuma apa yang penting untuk lebih menajamkan lagi ilmu trading anda, masih perlu belajar secara langsung. Ada teknik-teknik trading dlm FX tidak dapat dijelaskan dengan hanya melalui pembacaan. Oleh itu anda harus bersedia untuk memperkembangkan ilmu untuk belajar secara live.
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nanangfx said...

kemahiran kita dalam penguasaan trading forex tentu akan sangat bergantung pada pengalaman dan jam terbang yang kita miliki. saat ini saya berusaha untuk meningkatkan pengalaman live trading saya dengan menggunakan minimal deposit $5 pada akun Micro di OctaFX.

January 11, 2015 at 11:41 AM

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Forex (FOReign EXchange market)

Forex (Foreign Exchange Market)

Forex is an inter-bank market that took shape in 1971 when global trade shifted from fixed exchange rates to floating ones. This is a set of transactions among forex market agents involving exchange of specified sums of money in a currency unit of any given nation for currency of another nation at an agreed rate as of any specified date. During exchange, the exchange rate of one currency to another currency is determined simply: by supply and demand – exchange to which both parties agree

Forex is an inter-bank market that took shape in 1971 when global trade shifted from fixed exchange rates to floating ones. This is a set of transactions among forex market agents involving exchange of specified sums of money in a currency unit of any given nation for currency of another nation at an agreed rate as of any specified date. During exchange, the exchange rate of one currency to another currency is determined simply: by supply and demand – exchange to which both parties agree.

The scope of transactions in the global currency market is constantly growing, which is due to development of international trade and abolition of currency restrictions in many nations. Global daily conversion transactions came to $1,982 billion in mid-1998 (the London market accounted for some 32% of daily turnover; the New York market exchanged approx. 18%, and the German market, 10%). Not only the scope of transactions but also the rates that mark the market development are impressive: in 1977, the daily turnover stood at five billion U.S. dollars; it grew to 600 billion U.S. dollars over ten years – to one trillion in 1992. Speculative transactions intended to derive profit from jobbing on the exchange rate differences make up nearly 80% of total transactions. Jobbing attracts numerous participants – both financial institutions and individual investors.

With the highest rates of information technology development in the last two decades, the market itself changed beyond recognition. Once surrounded with a halo of caste mystique, the foreign exchange dealer’s profession became almost grasroots. Forex transactions that used to be the privilege of the biggest monopolist banks not so long ago are now publicly accessible thanks to e-commerce systems. And the foremost banks themselves also often prefer trade in electronic systems over individual bilateral transactions. E-brokers now account for 11% of the forex market turnover. The daily scope of transactions of the biggest banks (Deutsche Bank, Barclays Bank, Union Bank of Switzerland, Citibank, Chase Manhattan Bank, Standard Chartered Bank) reaches billions of dollars.

The FOREX market as a place where to apply one’s personal financial, intellectual and psychic power is not designed for attempts at catching a bluebird there. Sometimes someone manages to do so but for a short time only. The key advantage of a forex market is that one can succeed there just by the strength of one’s intelligence.

Another essential feature of the FOREX market, no matter how strange it might seem, is its stability. Everybody knows that sudden falls are very typical of the financial market. However, unlike the stock market, the FOREX market never falls. If shares devalue it means a collapse. But if the dollar slumps, that only means that another currency gets stronger. For instance, the yen strengthened by a quarter against the dollar late in 1998. On some days dollar fell by dozens percentage points. However, the market did not collapse anywhere; trading continued in the usual manner. It is here that the market and the related business stability lie - currency is an absolutely liquid commodity and will be always traded in.

The FOREX market is a 24-hour market that does not depend on certain business hours of foreign exchanges; trade takes place among banks located in different corners of the globe. Exchange rates a`re so flexible that significant changes happen quite frequently, which enables to make several transactions every day. If we have an elaborate and reliable trade technology we can make a business, which no other business can match by efficiency. It is not without reason that the pivotal banks buy expensive electronic equipment and maintain the staffs of hundreds of traders operating in different sectors of the FOREX market.

The starting costs of joining this business are very low now. Actually, it costs several thousands of dollars to take a course of initial training, to buy a computer, to purchase an information service and to create a deposit; no real business can be established with this money. With excessive offers of services, finding a reliable broker is also quite a real thing. The rest depends on the trader himself or herself. Everything depends on you personally, as in no other area of business now.

The main thing the market will require for successful operations is not the quantity of money you will enter it with – the main thing is the ability to constantly focus on studying the market, understanding its mechanisms and participants’ interests; this is constant improvement of one’s trade approaches and their disciplined implementation. Nobody has achieved success in that market by forcing one’s way with one’s capital atilt. The market is stronger than anything else; it is even stronger than central banks with their huge foreign exchange reserves. George Soros, a national hero of the FOREX market, did not win the Bank of England at all, as many of us believe – he made the right guess that, with existing contradictions inherent in the European financial system, there were plenty of problems and interests that would not allow to hold the pound. That’s exactly what happened. The Bank of England, having spent nearly $20 billion to maintain the pound rate, jacked it up, by giving it in to the market. The market settled this problem, and Soros got his billion.

The global monetary system has gone a long way during thousands of years of the human history, but it is surely experiencing the most exciting and earlier unthinkable changes. The two main changes determine a new image of the global monetary system: